DANIEL P. Tompkins | 27 Jun 14:30 2016
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Brexit could lead to loss of 100,000 financial services jobs, report warns | Politics | The Guardian

Sunny side!  Classicists find reasonably priced flats in Kensington W8?

Buyer's remorse in Tillbury -- see WaPo.  One local: "I was swayed by
the rhetorics."  The plural is charming.

Watch the news for minute by minute reports of "leaders" like Boris
back off from their promises to save NHS etc.

But hey, no foreigner's gonna make me buy a less noisy lawn mower.
Why be considerate of neighbors?

Dan

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/apr/14/brexit-could-lead-to-loss-of-100000-financial-services-jobs-report-warns?CMP=share_btn_link

Sent from my iPhone

DANIEL P. Tompkins | 27 Jun 06:49 2016
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More on security community

Thanks again to Mark for pointing this out.  A milder way to describe a
security community would be: a group in which problems can be argued and
settled with assurance that the social organization will not be shattered.
That is already a substantial achievement.

In Europe the fear since WWII has been that Germany would resurge and
dominate.  Well, it has, and no one could stop it, really.  But at least
there have been no outbreaks of serious hostilities, for more than half a
century.

One could catalogue all the possible frictions, many of them already
visible. War over any of them seems unlikely today.

Papers are full of quotes re Brexit, buyer's remorse, etc.  No need to
catalogue these, here.  But here's my favorite, from a chap in impoverished
Tillbury:

“I was swayed by the rhetorics,..."
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/voters-in-one-fading-port-town-wonder-if-they-were-misled-on-brexit/2016/06/26/fb0971de-3a42-11e6-af02-1df55f0c77ff_story.html?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-main_brittown-4pm%3Ahomepage%2Fstory>

It's the plural that gives it that authentic local charm.
Best,

Dan

On Sun, Jun 26, 2016 at 12:50 PM, Mark Davidson <markfdavidson <at> gmail.com>
wrote:

> > prevention of armed hostilities *among member states*:
>
(Continue reading)

Steven Willett | 26 Jun 23:50 2016
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Brexit contagion and war

The following Ipsos Mori poll published by Bloomberg displays the current play in eight countries on
possible exit from the EU:

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user5/imageroot/2016/06/04/Clrs-wNVYAA01iT.jpg

In the case of Italy, Sweden and Germany, the disparity between those who want a referendum and those who
will vote to leave the EU is fairly narrow. It might not take a great deal to push the leave vote much higher.

I would agree with Michael Smith here: "At the moment the greatest danger of war appears to arise *from*
'united Europe', when it dons its Pickelhaube and calls itself NATO. I certainly wish the Brits would pull
out of that one too, but dream on.” Most of the discussion on this list has circled about the economic
consequences of Brexit. The real issue is the attempt of the EU’s unelected bureaucracy to force a
greater union into something like a United States of Europe. This is the take of Martin Armstrong and many,
many others writing from the UK or the EU:

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/europes-current-economy/five-more-countries-want-referendums-to-exit-eu/

A quote:

"Brussels simply went too far. They crossed the line moving from an economic union to a political
subordination of Europe. Now five more countries want to hold referendums to exit the EU – France, the
Netherlands, Italy, Austria, Finland and Hungary all could leave. With Hollande approval rating at
about 11%, Merkel lucky she is not tarred & feathered, the Front National leader Marine Le Pen has pledged
to hold a French referendum. If she emerges victorious in next year’s presidential elections, that
means the next major player in the EU after Germany is out and there goes the EU.”

The refugee problem that now afflicts the EU is the direct consequence of the illegal wars and warcrimes of
the US in MENA, crimes and warcrimes that its EU NATO vassals  actively supported. Now we have the EU
following orders from the Obama administration to demonize Putin and Russia while mounting a massive
military exercise on Russia’s western border with Operation Anakonda-16 in Poland and other
(Continue reading)

June Samaras | 26 Jun 21:46 2016
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Fwd: Greek Graduate Diaspora

http://www.ekathimerini.com/209841/article/ekathimerini/community/educated-greeks-cant-catch-a-break-at-home

24.06.2016 : 16:03Educated Greeks can’t catch a break at homeAPOSTOLOS
LAKASAS <http://www.ekathimerini.com/authors?id=239>

   One in four Greek university graduates have left the country in the past
   six years in search of better job prospects abroad, and most intend to
   settle down in their new place of residence for good, a new study looking at
   past and present trends has found.

The path of migration has never been easy, though, and many educated Greeks
may spend several months in a foreign country without a job, relying on
support from their parents back home, a trend that was even more marked
before the start of the crisis in 2010. Moreover, the profile of the
migrating Greek has also changed dramatically today compared to the massive
migration waves in the first two decades after World War II.

According to a recent study conducted by the University of Macedonia and
supervised by Lois Labrianidis, a professor of economic geography and
Greece’s general secretary of strategic and private investment, of the
185,388 Greek university graduates who departed the country from 1990 to
2015, 139,041 have left since 2010. Also, up until the late 1980s, the
majority of migrants left only with their middle school diploma, while in
the 1990s most had a high school diploma, and from the start of 2000 to the
present, almost 75 percent had at least one university or technical college
degree.

The study, which was funded by the London School of Economics, found that
in the 2010-15 period, wealthy Greeks constituted 9 percent of the total
number who migrated abroad, even though this category of household made up
(Continue reading)

June Samaras | 26 Jun 20:19 2016
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Nemean games

Forget the Football .. try this ...

JS
-------------------------

http://www.ekathimerini.com/209524/article/ekathimerini/sports/athletes-from-around-the-world-re-enact-ancient-games-in-nemea

Athletes from around the world re-enact ancient games in Nemea
DEREK GATOPOULOS

Fifty-five days before the Games begin in Rio de Janeiro, athletes from
around the world are taking part in very different kind of sporting
tournament in southern Greece.

Think of it as the no-frills Olympics: No national teams. No medals. No
shoes.

Wearing only white tunics and running barefoot, athletes competed Saturday
in the Sixth Modern Nemean Games, a partial revival of ancient Greek games
which draws enthusiastic participants aged from 5 to 89.

The races, run in age categories, only include a 90-meter sprint on a
straight dirt course at a 2,300-year-old stadium and 7.5-kilometer run
through fabled olive groves and vineyards in the area, where in ancient
Greek mythology Hercules – god of strength, sport and fertility – slayed a
fearsome lion.

Runners take an oath before competing, and pass through an ancient tunnel
to reach the track. A teenage boy, with a red cloak and laurel branch crown
on his head, sounds a long horn before each race.
(Continue reading)

Steven Willett | 26 Jun 19:38 2016
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Three short breaks from Brexit hysteria

1. A video on the White Nights in St. Petersburg, the city I love most on this planet, Russian with somewhat
adequate subtitles:

http://russia-insider.com/en/politics/white-nights-romantic-brand-saint-petersburg/ri15193

2. John Pilger on the Brexit hysteria with something useful on poverty:

https://www.rt.com/op-edge/348454-why-british-no-europe/

3. A reminder from Brecht:

Das Lied von der Unzulänglichkeit

Der Mensch lebt durch den Kopf
der Kopf reicht ihm nicht aus
versuch es nur; von deinem Kopf
lebt höchstens eine Laus.

Denn für dieses Leben

ist der Mensch nicht schlau genug

niemals merkt er eben

allen Lug und Trug.

Ja; mach nur einen Plan
sei nur ein großes Licht!
Und mach dann noch´nen zweiten Plan
gehn tun sie beide nicht.
(Continue reading)

DANIEL P. Tompkins | 26 Jun 18:18 2016
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François de Polignac's petition

To various friends and colleagues:

Not everyone will disagree, and I don't claim expertise here. Criticism
welcome!

Here I'm relaying a petition initiated by a *wonderful *ancient historian.

To build "un vaste mouvement populaire, transcendant les clivages
politiques traditionnels, ... porteur d’un projet à partager avec les
autres peuples européens" strikes me as quite a daunting aspiration -- but
worth seeking, asymptotically.  Progress -- to be more precise, maintenance
of European solidarity -- seems equally likely to require very specific,
 tedious parliamentary activity.  But the thrust, the underlying concern
here for not only preserving but improving Europe, is admirable and
deserving of support.

In the "comments" I insist on the benefits of a "security community" --
Karl Deutsch's 1957 coinage -- not only for defense against outside
enemies, but for prevention of armed hostilities *among member states*:

Already twice, Europe had torn herself to pieces, and only some form of a
United States of Europe seemed capable of preventing a revival of the
perennial nationalist hatreds and an eventual third intra-European war
that might
destroy whatever was still left. Finally, a remedy seemed desperately
needed for the declining position of Europe in the world. (Deutsch in '62)

In all the discussion about bureaucracy, and fears about Brussels forcing
down the noise from  British lawn mowers, the peacekeeping dividend of
European integration tends to get forgotten.  That is a mistake.  The EU
(Continue reading)

DANIEL P. Tompkins | 26 Jun 11:23 2016
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After residents voted for Brexit, this British county realized the E.U. might stop sending them money - The Washington Post

Impoverished Cornwall was getting $82m / year from EU, and supported
Brexit.  Bit of a head scratcher til we recall Kansas has acted like
that for decades (see Thomas Frank).  Thucydides portrays Spartan and
Athenian decisions as irrational, too.

But Cornwall.  Gonna be interesting.

Best,

Dan

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2016/06/25/after-residents-voted-for-brexit-this-british-county-realized-the-e-u-might-stop-sending-them-money/?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-main_wv-county-eu-money-720pm%3Ahomepage%2Fstory

Sent from my iPhone

DANIEL P. Tompkins | 25 Jun 14:39 2016
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More: Re: OT: Brexit, etc.

From a friend:

... The big irony, of course, is that England will also become darker, just
what the Brexit voters thought they were preventing, because residents of
ex-colonies (say, Pakistan, India, Nigeria, ...) can continue to enter
freely, while those dangerous Poles and Romanians, and, shudder, southern
Europeans, can't. What fools

Dan

On Sat, Jun 25, 2016 at 8:34 AM, DANIEL P. Tompkins <pericles <at> temple.edu>
wrote:

> Thanks!  This petition  <https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/131215>seems
> to have 1.7 signatures.  Spurgeon's getting ready
> <http://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/brexit/nach-britischem-brexit-schottland-bereitet-zweites-unabhaengigkeits-referendum-vor-14308054.html>.
>  Arabs and Iranians welcome Brexit
> <http://www.tasnimnews.com/en/news/2016/06/24/1113764/brexit-historical-opportunity-for-iran-official-says>,
> a "historic opportunity"  to work with a UK that isn't part of "Europe" and
> take advantage of sterling plunge to buy more properties around London and
> elsewhere (this was a goal of Brexit?).  LePen already has a wall poster
> building on Brexit
> <http://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/brexit/europas-rechtspopulisten-im-kielwasser-der-briten-14306862.html>.
>  Britain wants a sweetheart deal after Brexit. Fat chance Germany will
> give it one.
> <https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/06/24/britain-wants-a-sweetheart-deal-after-brexit-fat-chance-germany-will-give-it-one/>
>  Richard Tuck, now at Harvard, has offended everyone I know, it seems, with
>  his "Left Case for Brexit
> <https://www.dissentmagazine.org/online_articles/left-case-brexit>."
>
(Continue reading)

Mark Davidson | 25 Jun 14:07 2016
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Re: OT: Brexit, etc.

Personally, I think predictions of the sky falling due to Brexit are much
exaggerated.

If you want to understand what's happening financially in Europe, and why
the European monetary union cannot be sustained indefinitely, the following
paper is by far the best and clearest explanation I've ever seen anywhere:

Creditors Uninterested in Getting Their Money Back
By Yanis Varoufakis
https://varoufakis.files.wordpress.com/2016/06/syd-u-lecture-creditors-uninterested-in-getting-their-money-back-the-eurozone-paradox.pdf
[PDF]

If the Euro collapses, so will the EU.

Mark

Mark Davidson | 24 Jun 20:23 2016
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OT: Bexit, etc.

Very interesting financial point, at the end of the day's trading:

London index:  -3%
German DAX:  -7%
French CAC:    -8%

So EU markets were hit harder than London markets, seeming to indicate that
the financial world thinks this is worse for the EU than for Britain -
contrary to all predictions.

Britain is not the only country dissatisfied with the EU. A MORI poll
conducted in May found that 41% of people in France said they would vote to
leave the EU, and 48% in Italy.

A survey by the the Pew Research Center earlier this month found that 61%
of people in France have an unfavourable view of the EU. In Germany 48%
have an unfavourable view. Over the whole EU, a narrow majority of only 51%
have a favourable view.

> Labour this time round -- as opposed to the 1970s -- generally
> supported the "Bremain" side and campaign

But many traditional Labour areas voted overwhelmingly for Brexit. e.g.

"Labour is facing an extraordinary meltdown in its traditional heartlands
as working-class areas voted 'Leave' in their droves. Despite the party
leadership and almost every Labour MP campaigning for Remain, traditional
Labour areas ignored their pleas and voted to pull Britain out of the EU."

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/labour-heartlands-give-huge-backing-8271074
(Continue reading)


Gmane